Mar 07 2007
Paulson Pressures China on Opening Capital Market
My friend Cortilia forwarded me this article: Paulson Says China Must Open Financial Markets Faster
Somehow that got me distracted from my finals. But I have read about GCC (Gulf Coop. Council) countries’ currency issues recently so here is what I wrote her back:
The problem with Paulson’s arguments is that without a net benefit analysis (e.g. benefit minus expected risks of opening capital market), he is only pressuring but not persuading the Chinese.
God knows whether the 2.5 return is or is not the best given the production infrastructure (labor, productivity, capital stock, etc.)? I mean the Saudis are running a 15% inflation rate right now with an open capital market. Since China is so regionally stratified, can the nation handle such a high inflation rate politically?
Anyway, just remembered there is a off-the-main-stream study on Cultural differences based entirely on each’s innate tolerance for risks. The more I think of it, the more I realize how highly this index (tolerance for risk) correlates to a culture’s past. In other words, I suspect that as a culture grows older and has experienced more traumas, it becomes less risk-tolerant.
Anyway, here is the culture-risk link: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cultural_Theory_of_risk
Enjoy.
Bing