Jun 04 2007
The Bubble Goes to …
Shanghai stock exchange dropped for the 2nd day in a row. I am kind of surprised that the stamp tax actually worth double digits.
Now the question is where all the money will go next? Or do they even go after the same target?
When people pull money out of domestic stock market, there are couple of immediate alternatives: real estate and foreign stock markets. But the first is under close watch for fear of upsetting some kind of social equilibrium, and the latter is as tightly controlled albeit for different reasons.
What else? Commercial real estate? Antiques? Luxury goods? Travel?
Ideally, all the money will go to upper tiers of consumption pyramid. The worst case is the extra money goes to things like rice and pork.
It is kind of ironic that I am writing this entry on the 18th anniversary of 1989.6.4. Some school friends in 1990 had a clever way to commemorate the event by announcing on stage that, “I can’t sing too loudly today since I have not ate anything the whole day.” And I was printing flyers in the field that day too. It was hot and humid. I had a terrible leg cramp playing soccer that night. But I had help. Yaochun allowed me to use his lab’s computer and printer. Tan Feifei put the flyers in girls dorm. Li Ya was with me the whole day.
Yeah. I still remember.