Jan 27 2009
When the Bad Guys Always Make the Right Decisions
Came upon the news: China’s Banks Told to Boost Loans to Small Businesses
The Chinese government, thru fiat, mandates that “financial firms should make support for small and medium-sized businesses a priority in 2009, and ensure that loan growth to such firms exceeds overall loan growth, ”
Although the above news is a good thing for China, I find myself a bit disappointed. On the one hand, this is a right decision that will spur domestic growth. On the other, if the policy is successfully carried out, the private enterprises may become reliant on government money and soon lose its edge–not just political edge, but productive one too.
In recent years, headline growth mainly comes from heavy investment with diminishing returns. According to some, this growth pattern is almost cancerous. Huang Yasheng has been focusing on the lagging income growth behind that of GDP. Both he and Nick Lardy point out that the private sector is more productive and efficient, yet is terribly under-capitalized.
I too have been cheering for foreign private equity money going to China to pick up the slack. If there is a healthy private economy–private production by private funding–we may see a healthy property class asserting more political autonomy.
But the regime again stayed one step ahead. How come the bad guys always make the right decisions? The current regime is a parasitic, rentier-autocratic class. Yet it is so good at protecting itself from being replaced by anything even remotely progressive. It just has to assimilate the good guys until they are all the same …